U.S. cattle inventory drops to 75-year low By Julie Tomascik
Editor The U.S. beef cattle herd continued its downward trend, with total cattle and calves reaching a 75-year low, according to the latest cattle inventory report released by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). As of Jan. 1, 2026, the nation’s cattle inventory totaled 86.2 million head, down from 86.5 million head a year earlier. In Texas, there were 12.1 million head, the same as Jan. 1, 2025. “Although replacement heifer numbers increased slightly across the nation, herd expansion isn’t happening yet,” Tracy Tomascik, Texas Farm Bureau associate director of Commodity and Regulatory Activities, said. “This signals that cattle supplies will remain thin throughout this year.” U.S. cattle numbers
USDA’s cattle inventory report showed all cows and heifers that have calved were also down slightly at 37.2 million. Beef cows, at 27.6 million head, were down 1% from a year ago. All heifers 500 pounds and over as of Jan. 1 totaled 18 million head, 1% below the 18.1 million head last year. Beef replacement heifers, at 4.71 million head, were up 1% from a year ago. Other heifers were down 2%, totaling 9.4 million head. Milk cows, at 9.57 million head, were up 2% from last year, while milk replacement heifers, at 3.90 million head, were down slightly from the previous year. Bulls weighing 500 pounds and over were up slightly. They totaled 2.01 million head on Jan. 1. Steers weighing 500 pounds and over as of Jan. 1 totaled 15.6 million head, a 1% drop from last year. Calves under 500 pounds totaled 13.3 million head, down slightly from a year ago. Cattle on feed
Cattle and calves on feed for the slaughter market in the U.S. for all feedlots totaled 13.8 million head. That’s down 3% from last year’s 14.3 million total. Cattle on feed in feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head accounted for 82.7% of the total cattle on feed, up slightly from the previous year. U.S. calf crop
The 2025 calf crop in the U.S. was estimated at 32.9 million head. That’s down 2% from the previous year’s calf crop. Calves born during the first half of 2025 were estimated at 24.2 million head, down 2% from last year. Calves born during the second half of 2025 were estimated at 8.70 million head, making 26% of the total 2025 calf crop. More information
The full cattle inventory report, which was released Jan. 30, can be found here. The next report will be released in July.
This is a really great video and definitely something anyone should watch and understand if they’re considering trying keto or sugar fasting.
In the video, Nick Norwitz explains that both high-carb, low-protein (sugar fasting) and high-fat, low-protein (keto) diets elevate FGF21, which is the hormone responsible for increasing fat metabolism by raising energy expenditure. He also notes that genetic variants in FGF21 are extremely common—present in about 44% of people. If you have one of these variants, your FGF21 levels may not increase as expected on either diet, which means you might not experience the same rise in energy expenditure—and could even gain weight.
So why does he only offer caution about the sugar diet? That seems incredibly biased. I believe the same level of caution should be applied to keto as well, especially since, by his own explanation, the mechanism behind weight loss and increased energy expenditure is the same—FGF21. He also mentions that obesity is a state in which FGF21 resistance is likely. So, if you're obese and part of the 44% with a genetic variant, it’s very possible that neither of these diets will work as intended. Based on his interpretation of the study, the warning he gives about the sugar diet should absolutely apply to keto too.